Hmmm... I'm not wholly convinced in what the author is saying. It sounds like the experiment is providing circumstanital evidence and their statistical analysis doesn't quite hold up.
Then again, I have a raging malt-whisky-based hangover and my grumpiness could be biasing me. Let me have a little think (or paracetamol) and I'll re-evaluate my thoughts.
The key is diversity (within or without), because "diversity improves decision making".
ReplyDeleteDon't we all do it individually almost always?
Hmmm... I'm not wholly convinced in what the author is saying. It sounds like the experiment is providing circumstanital evidence and their statistical analysis doesn't quite hold up.
ReplyDeleteThen again, I have a raging malt-whisky-based hangover and my grumpiness could be biasing me. Let me have a little think (or paracetamol) and I'll re-evaluate my thoughts.
As I understood it, it's just using a similar technique to that "$64000" math problem (the one where you can pick one of three options, then you're told it's definitely not this one (one you haven't chosen)... Using probability, you stand a better chance at winning if you change your selection - even though the initial selection may have been random! - I think Chris posted it, but I had a look and couldn't find the (BBC/Sautoy?) article. Anyone? )
ReplyDeleteIt was called "Alan & Marcus go forth and multiply" or some such. It isn't on the BBC iPlayer anymore and there do not appear to be any clips about...
ReplyDeleteAh, yes! Yeah, it's sad that iPlayer files don't hang around :(
ReplyDelete